définition¶
historique¶
caractéristiques¶
un bien commun
We argue here that this resource, the future, has in theory all the attributes of a public good as defined in economics as a good that is at the same [[time]] non-excludable and non-rival (Oakland 1987). The future is a non-excludable good since it is impossible to exclude anyone from consuming (that is, using) the future given that this ability is inherent to the anticipatory systems we all possess. It is also a non-rivalrous good because its consumption/use does not affect its availability for subsequent use. (Bourgeois et al., 2022, p. 3) (pdf) #jaune
mais [[qui]] peut devenir un bien commun imparfait, voire un bien de club
In the past, there is evidence of the future being treated as club good, restricting others from using it. Such ‘clubs’ included social castes (pythonesses, shamans) and religious organisations (sects, confessional organisations). The transformation of the future into a private good is also ancient, with simple people paying specialised professionals who knew how to use the future (oracles, fortunetellers, soothsayers, mediums). Alleged mastery of technological devices was a common means of exclusion (crystal ball, trance, tarot, bones reading) often fostering the constitution and operation of these ‘clubs’. (Bourgeois et al., 2022, p. 4) (pdf) #jaune
une question de légitimité
Today this situation endures reinvesting new forms of institutions and technologies. The new clubs are made of institutions or individuals who mastercomplex technologies. Mathematical models, sophisticated qualitative tools and methods have substituted crystal balls and bones reading. The new clubs are made of international organisations, advanced countries’ research centres and think tanks. New professional associations specialized in using the future have emerged. As a result, the future is also an economic business and its privatization perpetuated by specialists, experts selling their competences to those who believe that the future is a matter of professional authority. (Bourgeois et al., 2022, p. 4) #jaune
le futur, ou plutôt la connaissance sur le futur ou le [[fait]] de dire le futur, de le raconter (de le [[framing]] ), est une forme de bien de club, car ce n’est pas accessible à tout le monde mais seulement à celleux [[qui]] font partie de cercles spécialisés (labo, institutions, etc)
je trouve que la dernière phrase est particulièrement intéressante : à ceux [[qui]] pensent que le futur est une question d’autorité professionnelle. déjà, la reconnaissance de cette autorité professionnelle n’est pas évidente pour tout le monde ; pour certains, des divins ou autres peuvent être des pros, alors que pour d’autres ce seront forcément les mathématiques ou des choses comme ça ensuite, il y a une question d’adhérence à cette autorité : juste en n’y croyant pas, ça ne marche plus